{"id":23,"date":"2001-10-21T00:00:39","date_gmt":"2001-10-21T07:00:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.mii.ucla.edu\/causality\/?p=34"},"modified":"2001-10-21T00:00:39","modified_gmt":"2001-10-21T07:00:39","slug":"indirect-effects","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/causality.cs.ucla.edu\/blog\/index.php\/2001\/10\/21\/indirect-effects\/","title":{"rendered":"Indirect Effects"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>From <\/strong><font><strong>Melanie Wall, University of Minnesota:<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font> I am teaching a course in latent variable modeling (to biostatistics and other public health students) and was yesterday introducing path analysis concepts including direct and indirect effects. <\/font><\/p>\n<p><font>I showed them how to calculate indirect effects by taking the product of direct paths.  Then a student asked about how to interpret the indirect effect and I gave the answer that I always give, that the indirect effect <em>ab<\/em> (in the following simple model) is the effect that a change in  <em>x<\/em> has on <em>Z<\/em> through its relationship with <em>Y<\/em>.<br \/> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/bayes.cs.ucla.edu\/BOOK-2K\/wall.gif\" height=\"110\" align=\"middle\" \/> <\/font><\/p>\n<p><font>After chewing on this for a second, the student asked the following: <\/font><\/p>\n<p><font><strong>Student:<\/strong>  &quot;The interpretation of the <em>b<\/em> path is:  <em>b<\/em>  is the increase we would see in <em>Z<\/em> given a unit increase in  <em>Y<\/em> while holding <em>X<\/em> fixed, right?&quot; <\/font><\/p>\n<p><font><strong>Me:<\/strong> &quot;That&#39;s right&quot; <\/font><\/p>\n<p><font><strong>Student:<\/strong>  &quot;Then what is being held constant when we interpret an indirect effect?&quot; <\/font><\/p>\n<p><font><strong>Me:<\/strong> &quot;Not sure what you mean&quot; <\/font><\/p>\n<p><font><strong>Student:<\/strong> &quot;You said the interpretation of the  indirect effect <em>ab<\/em> is:  <em>ab<\/em> is the increase we would see in <em>Z<\/em> given a one unit increase  in <em>X<\/em> through its causal effect on <em>Y<\/em>.  But since <em>b<\/em>  (the direct effect from <em>Y<\/em> to <em>Z<\/em>) requires <em>X<\/em> to be  held constant how can it be used in a calculation that is also requiring  <em>X<\/em> to change one unit&quot; <\/font><\/p>\n<p><font><strong>Me:<\/strong> &quot;Hmm. Very good question, I&#39;m not sure I have a good answer for you. In the case where the direct path from <em>X<\/em><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/bayes.cs.ucla.edu\/BOOK-2K\/r-arrow.gif\" height=\"10\" align=\"middle\" \/>  <em>Z<\/em> is zero I think we have no problem since the relationship between <em>Y<\/em> and <em>Z<\/em> then has  nothing to do with <em>X<\/em>.  But you are right, here if &quot;<em>c<\/em>&quot; is  non-zero then we must interpret <em>b<\/em> as the effect of <em>Y<\/em> on  <em>Z<\/em> when <em>X<\/em> is held constant.  I understand that this sounds like it conflicts with the interpretation of the <em>ab<\/em> indirect effect where we are examining what a change in <em>X<\/em> will cause.   How about I get back to you.  As I have told you before, the calculations  here aren&#39;t hard, its trying to truly understand what your model means  that&#39;s hard.&quot; <\/font><\/p>\n<p> <font> <\/font><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>From Melanie Wall, University of Minnesota: I am teaching a course in latent variable modeling (to biostatistics and other public health students) and was yesterday introducing path analysis concepts including direct and indirect effects. I showed them how to calculate indirect effects by taking the product of direct paths. Then a student asked about how [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-indirect-effects"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/causality.cs.ucla.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/causality.cs.ucla.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/causality.cs.ucla.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/causality.cs.ucla.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/causality.cs.ucla.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/causality.cs.ucla.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/causality.cs.ucla.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/causality.cs.ucla.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/causality.cs.ucla.edu\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}